GOES-16 IR Caribbean. Image courtesy of NOAA. Updated: 2026-06-05 5:40 PM AST. 14 min ago
Eastern Caribbean Forecast
Updated: 2026-06-05 01:50 AST 16 hours ago
The Atlantic high pressure system will be the main feature affecting conditions across the Eastern Caribbean over the next 24 hours. From Puerto Rico southwards to Trinidad and Tobago available low level moisture coupled with instability within the wind flow will result in partly sunny to partly cloudy skies with at most a moderate chance of passing showers. Meanwhile, the presence of the Saharan dust will persist in varying concentrations.
Winds: East at 15 to 30 km/h or 9 to 18.
Seas: 1.2 to 2.4 metres or 4 to 8 feet.
Forecaster: Jaleel Jacobs — A daily forecast issued by the Antigua & Barbuda Met Office, covering the Eastern Caribbean islands.
NHC Eastern Caribbean Outlook
Updated: 2026-06-05 1:30 PM AST 4 hrs ago

Gale Warning East of 35W: The pressure gradient between a 1030 mb high pressure system centered southwest of the Azores and lower pressures in northwest Africa supports strong to gale- force northerly winds in the marine zone of Agadir. Gale-force winds are expected to occur through 06/1200 UTC, with severe gusts. These winds will create rough seas of 10 ft and higher.
Similar conditions will continue into the weekend. For more details, refer to the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast listed on their website wwmiws.wmo.int.
A tropical wave is along 22W, south of 13N, moving west at 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is present from 05N to 08N between 18W and 25W.
A tropical wave is along 47W, south of 12N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is evident from 02N to 09N between 40W and 53W.
Another tropical wave is along 59W, south of 16N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is near the wave axis S of 11N. This tropical wave will move across the Windward Islands tonight into Sat increasing the likelihood of showers.
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N16W and continues southwestward to 05N28W. The ITCZ extends from 05N28W to 07N45W. Convection in this area is primarily associated with the tropical waves previously mentioned.
From the NHC Tropical Weather Discussion, issued four times a day, showing weather and systems relevant to the Eastern Caribbean.
— Forecaster: Adams
Image courtesy of NOAA. Updated at approximately 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT from 15 May to 30 November, with special outlooks issued at any time as conditions warrant. The graphic displays all currently active tropical cyclones, and disturbances with tropical cyclone formation potential over the next five days.
Updated: 2026-06-05 2:00 PM AST 3 hours ago
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
Atlantic storm names for 2026
- Arthur AR-thur
- Bertha BUR-thuh
- Cristobal krees-TOH-bahl
- Dolly DAH-lee
- Edouard eh-DWARD
- Fay fay
- Gonzalo gohn-SAH-loh
- Hanna HAN-uh
- Isaias ees-ah-EE-ahs
- Josephine JOH-seh-feen
- Kyle KY-ull
- Leah LEE-ah
- Marco MAR-koe
- Nana NA-na
- Omar OH-mar
- Paulette pawl-LET
- Rene re-NAY
- Sally SAL-ee
- Teddy TEHD-ee
- Vicky VIH-kee
- Wilfred WILL-fred
Regional Satellite Animations
Updated: 2026-06-05 5:45 PM AST 9 min ago
These satellite animations cover the Eastern Caribbean and the full tropical Atlantic from the West African coast to the Caribbean Sea. Each animation starts as a still image. Click play to start.
GOES East Infrared – Caribbean
An enhanced infrared satellite animation from GOES East (Band 13, 10.3 µm) focused on the Eastern Caribbean. Infrared imagery detects heat radiating from cloud tops — the colder (and therefore higher) a cloud top, the more likely it is producing heavy rain or thunderstorms. Bright blue-green and white areas indicate very cold, tall cloud tops associated with active convection, while grey tones show lower, warmer clouds or clear skies. This view is particularly useful at night when visible imagery is unavailable, and for spotting developing thunderstorm clusters that could organise into tropical disturbances.
Satellite animation courtesy of NASA/MSFC.
GOES East Infrared – Atlantic
A wider infrared satellite animation from GOES East (Band 13, 10.3 µm) covering the tropical Atlantic from the Eastern Caribbean to the West African coast. This zoomed-in view makes it easier to track individual cloud clusters and tropical waves as they cross the Atlantic — the classic path toward the Caribbean during hurricane season. The colour scale highlights cold, high cloud tops in blue-green and white (indicating deep convection and potential storm development), while warmer grey tones represent lower clouds or clear skies.
Satellite animation courtesy of NASA/MSFC.
GOES‑19 Caribbean – Geocolor
GeoColor imagery shows the Earth as it appears to the human eye during the day, with enhanced city lights and infrared cloud detection at night. This close-up view of the Caribbean basin highlights cloud formations, approaching weather systems, and the Saharan dust layer (visible as a hazy brownish tint over open water). Useful for seeing the overall state of weather around the Eastern Caribbean islands at a glance.
Satellite animation courtesy of NOAA.
GOES‑19 Tropical Atlantic – Geocolor
GeoColor imagery shows the Earth as it appears to the human eye during the day, with enhanced city lights and infrared cloud detection at night. This wide-angle view stretches from the West African coast to the Caribbean, making it ideal for tracking tropical waves as they move westward across the Atlantic — the classic path that can lead to tropical storm and hurricane development during the season. You can also observe large-scale cloud patterns, the Saharan dust layer (appears as a hazy brownish tint), and the overall state of the tropical Atlantic.
Satellite animation courtesy of NOAA.
The two "visible band" animations below only include frames captured during daylight hours. Nighttime frames appear dark and are excluded.
GOES East Visible – Leeward Islands
A high-resolution visible satellite animation from GOES East (Band 2, 0.64 µm) centred on the Leeward Islands. Visible imagery shows clouds as the human eye would see them from space — bright white areas are thick clouds likely producing showers, while thin wispy clouds appear grey. This band offers the sharpest detail of any GOES channel, making it excellent for tracking individual shower cells, sea breeze boundaries, and developing convective systems. Visible imagery is only available during daytime hours.
Satellite animation courtesy of NASA SPoRT/MSFC.
GOES East Visible – Windward Islands
A high-resolution visible satellite animation from GOES East (Band 2, 0.64 µm) centred on the Windward Islands. Same technology as above but framed to show the southern Eastern Caribbean, useful for monitoring approaching weather from the south and east, including interaction of tropical waves with the ITCZ (Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone). Only available during daytime.
Satellite animation courtesy of NASA SPoRT/MSFC.
Caribbean Forecast Maps
Updated: 2026-06-05 5:20 PM AST 34 min ago
The surface chart forecasts 24 hours ahead; the wind and wave charts cover the next 12 hours. Updated several times daily.
Tropical Atlantic 24-hour surface forecast
The forecast position of pressure systems (highs and lows), fronts, troughs, tropical waves (dashed lines tracking westward, often the seeds of tropical storms in season), the monsoon trough and the ITCZ, 24 hours from the issue time. Tightly packed isobars mean stronger winds. Click the image to enlarge it for easier reading.
Image courtesy of NOAA.
Caribbean 12-hr wind forecast
Shows predicted wind speeds across the Caribbean basin for the next 12 hours. The colour-filled regions use a rainbow scale — purple and blue shades represent lighter winds, greens and yellows indicate moderate winds, and orange to red areas signal the strongest winds. The colour bar along the top of the chart shows the wind speed values in knots. Use this chart to anticipate incoming wind changes, assess conditions for maritime travel, or gauge how a developing weather system may affect wind patterns in your area.
Image courtesy of NOAA.
Caribbean 12-hr wave height forecast
Displays predicted significant wave heights across the Atlantic and Caribbean for the next 12 hours. Black contour lines connect areas of equal wave height, with numbers labelling the height in feet. Lines spaced closely together indicate a steep change in sea conditions over a short distance. Useful for assessing sea conditions for boating, fishing, and coastal activities, and for tracking swells generated by distant storms. During hurricane season, a rapid increase in wave heights in a particular area may indicate an approaching or intensifying tropical system.
Image courtesy of NOAA.
Rainfall Tracking
Rainfall over the last 24 hours. Readings updated: 2026-06-05 5:00 PM AST 54 min ago
- Dominica Light 10 mm0.40 in
- Guadeloupe Light 2.1 mm0.08 in
- Saint Barthélemy Light 2.0 mm0.08 in
- Anguilla Light 1.4 mm0.06 in
- St Vincent Light 1.2 mm0.05 in
- Saint Lucia Light 1.2 mm0.05 in
- Barbados Light 1.2 mm0.05 in
- Saint Martin Light 1.1 mm0.04 in
- Grenada Light 1.0 mm0.04 in
- Antigua and Barbuda Light 0.9 mm0.04 in
- Montserrat Light 0.5 mm0.02 in
- Saint Kitts and Nevis Dry 0.0 mm0.00 in
- British Virgin Islands Dry 0.0 mm0.00 in
- Saint Thomas Dry 0.0 mm0.00 in
- Martinique Dry 0.0 mm0.00 in
- Saint Croix Dry 0.0 mm0.00 in
- Sint Eustatius Dry 0.0 mm0.00 in
- Saba Dry 0.0 mm0.00 in
Light under 25 mm, moderate 25–50, heavy 50–100, very heavy 100–200, flood 200+ mm.Light under 1 in, moderate 1–2, heavy 2–4, very heavy 4–8, flood 8+ in.
Latest data: 2026-06-05 1:00 PM AST 4 hours ago
Satellite-derived rainfall animations for the Eastern Caribbean. The rain rate shows where rain is falling right now with minimal delay, making it ideal for real-time tracking. The 3-hour composite uses the higher-accuracy Late algorithm to accumulate rainfall over 3-hour windows, giving a broader view of rain bands and areas of heavy rainfall.
Rain Rate (early) – Caribbean
This animation loops through the last 10 hours of NASA IMERG Early rain rate estimates (~4-hour delay), updated every 30 minutes. Each frame shows where rain is actively falling at that moment — watch the progression to see how rain bands are moving across the region. Green and yellow indicate light to moderate rainfall; orange and red mark heavier downpours. The timestamp on each frame shows the observation time in AST.
3-Hour Rainfall Composite (late) – Caribbean
This animation uses the higher-accuracy NASA IMERG Late algorithm (~17-hour delay) to show accumulated rainfall over 3-hour windows. Each frame represents total rainfall over a 3-hour period, making it easier to follow rain bands as they moved across the region. If any frame shows yellow, orange, or red areas, those locations received significant rainfall during that window — a useful indicator for potential flash flooding.
Image courtesy of NASA SPoRT.
Sea Temperatures
Updated: 2026-06-05 5:50 PM AST 4 min ago
Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are a key factor in tropical cyclone development — waters above 26.5 °C (79.7 °F) provide the heat energy that fuels storms, with waters reaching 29–30 °C (84–86 °F) creating conditions where hurricanes can rapidly intensify. The 7-day composite shows the latest SST analysis for the Atlantic Main Development Region, while the 30-day animation reveals how temperatures have been trending across the Caribbean.
Sea Surface Temps – 7-day Composite
Sea surface temperature (SST) analysis for the Atlantic Main Development Region, where the majority of Cape Verde-type hurricanes form and intensify. Waters warmer than 26.5 °C (79.7 °F) provide the energy needed to sustain tropical cyclones. The warmer and deeper the warm water pool, the greater the potential for rapid intensification. During hurricane season, this image helps identify pockets of anomalously warm water that could fuel approaching tropical disturbances.
Image courtesy of NASA SPoRT.
Sea Surface Temps – Last 30 days
Shows how ocean surface temperatures have changed across the Caribbean over the past 30 days. During hurricane season, watch for unusually warm patches (deep reds and oranges), which can signal areas where approaching storms may strengthen significantly. Outside of hurricane season, SST trends help indicate the onset of warmer waters and the transition into the active period.
Animation courtesy of NOAA.
Saharan Dust
Updated: 2026-06-05 5:50 PM AST 4 min ago
Dust is currently low across the Eastern Caribbean.
Readings updated: 2026-06-05 5:00 PM AST 54 min ago
- Grenada Low 10 µg/m³
- Barbados Low 10 µg/m³
- Dominica Low 7 µg/m³
- St Vincent Low 7 µg/m³
- Antigua and Barbuda Low 5 µg/m³
- Saint Lucia Low 5 µg/m³
- British Virgin Islands Low 5 µg/m³
- Saint Thomas Low 5 µg/m³
- Guadeloupe Low 5 µg/m³
- Anguilla Low 4 µg/m³
- Martinique Low 4 µg/m³
- Montserrat Low 3 µg/m³
- Saint Martin Low 3 µg/m³
- Saint Croix Low 3 µg/m³
- Sint Eustatius Low 3 µg/m³
- Saba Low 3 µg/m³
- Saint Barthélemy Low 3 µg/m³
- Saint Kitts and Nevis Low 2 µg/m³
Dust concentration (µg/m³). Low under 50, elevated 50–99, high 100–199, very high 200–499, extreme 500+.
GOES RGB Caribbean – Dust
This specialised RGB (Red-Green-Blue) composite highlights Saharan dust plumes travelling westward across the Atlantic into the Caribbean. Dust typically appears as bright pink or magenta areas, while clouds show as darker red or brown tones and clear sky appears as a deep blue-black. Saharan dust affects the Caribbean in two important ways: it degrades air quality, aggravating respiratory conditions such as asthma and allergies, and it suppresses tropical cyclone development by introducing dry, stable air and increasing wind shear that disrupts storm organisation. During hurricane season, heavy dust outbreaks often coincide with quieter tropical activity, so tracking dust movement can help indicate when conditions are less favourable for storm formation. The image can also reveal other atmospheric features such as volcanic aerosols and wildfire smoke.
Image courtesy of NOAA.
The Natural Color image below uses visible light and is most useful during daylight hours. At night, the last daytime image is shown.
Saharan Air Layer – Natural Color
A natural-colour satellite view of the tropical Atlantic highlighting the Saharan Air Layer. Dust appears as a hazy tan or brownish plume stretching westward from the African coast across the ocean. Unlike the specialised RGB composite above, this image shows the atmosphere roughly as the human eye would see it from space, making it intuitive for spotting large-scale dust outbreaks. Dense dust reduces visibility and gives the sky a milky appearance over affected areas.
Image courtesy of UW-CIMSS/SSEC and NOAA.
Information on this page is updated according to the National Hurricane Center’s bulletin schedule. Satellite imagery refreshes approximately every 10 minutes.
The Eastern Caribbean Forecast is updated at least daily, year‑round, and more frequently whenever new discussions are issued.
The Tropical Weather Outlook section follows the NHC’s scheduled outlooks (four times daily from May 15 to November 30) and is hidden during the off‑season unless the NHC issues a special outlook.